Southern Florida will be rocking on Saturday when the Florida Gators (1-2) travel south to take on the No. 4-ranked Miami Hurricanes (3-0) in a primetime matchup. Florida has struggled out of the gate, losing games to USF (18-16) and LSU (20-10). The hot seat that head coach Billy Napier is sitting on could implode in flames if the Gators cannot snap their two-game losing streak on Saturday.
Miami has a chance to win the “Florida” state championship with a win on Saturday. The Hurricanes already own a dominant 49-12 win over previously ranked South Florida, and an ACC matchup against the No. 7-ranked Florida State Seminoles looms on October 4.
Can the Hurricanes continue their resurgence and defeat the Gators in Hard Rock Stadium on Saturday night? Read on to see our best bets for this primetime showdown.
Miami Hurricanes QB Carson Beck UNDER 272.5 Passing Yards
Georgia’s loss has been the Hurricanes’ gain. Quarterback Carson Beck has completed nearly 80 percent of his passes this season, throwing for 812 yards and seven touchdowns in three games.
His last outing against USF was a 340-yard performance, but the cautionary tale is that the 6-foot-4 signal-caller threw two interceptions. With Florida yielding over 100 rushing yards to back-to-back opponents, the Canes’ game plan will feature running back Mark Fletcher Jr. Take Beck to finish under 270 passing yards on Saturday as a result.
Florida Gators RB Jadan Baugh OVER 64.5 Rushing Yards
Sophomore running back Jadan Baugh has been one of the bright spots for Florida’s offense this season. The 6-foot-1 bruiser has 37 carries for 243 yards and a single touchdown through his team’s first three games.
Florida has multiple reasons it should become a run-first offense. The biggest one is how poorly their quarterback, D.J. Lagway, played against LSU, throwing five interceptions in that contest.
The second is that Baugh looks destined to become a future NFL player. Despite Miami’s success at defending the run, bettors should expect the Gators to feature Baugh heavily in the offense. Take him to cover this rushing prop bet on Saturday by a razor-thin margin.
Miami Hurricanes WR C.J. Daniels OVER 48.5 Receiving Yards
Senior wide receiver C.J. Daniels is a problem for opposing defenses. Through three games, he’s grabbed 14 receptions for 175 yards and a team-best three touchdowns. The 6-foot-2 receiver has caught five passes in two of the team’s three outings this season.
Florida has allowed multiple receivers to surpass 48 yards against both USF and LSU. While Miami will look to run the football against the Gators, Beck will still have his opportunities. Expect Daniels to be the beneficiary, eclipsing his 48.5-yard receiving prop bet on Saturday.
| Saturday, September 5 at 7:45 PM | Spread | Money | Total |
| Florida Atlantic Owls |  +26.5 (-110) |  +1800 |  O 59.5 (-106) |
| Florida Gators | -26.5 (-115) |  -2800 | U 59 (-109) |
Best Bet: UNDER 51.5
Miami throttled USF last week, but the Bulls were entering their third highly anticipated game in as many weeks. The Hurricanes dispatched USF easily, but the Bulls looked overmatched from the start.
It’s hard to imagine a scenario where the Hurricanes don’t send Florida back to Gainesville with their third loss of the year. A 7.5-point spread is tall ask in a series that often produces down-to-the-wire contests. Instead, take the offenses to struggle against two solid defensive units, ending with a final score below 52 combined points.
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