Our college hoops player props stumbled to a 1-2 finish last night. Norchad Omier scored plenty of points for Miami, but he let us down in the rebounding department.
Our under on Jalen Bridges suffered a similar fate, as he ended up with 5 rebounds for Baylor before halftime. Our only winner was on North Carolina's Harrison Ingram, who barely stayed under his rebounding number.
We're piping mad and ready to take some revenge on the books with our top plays for Tuesday, February 27. Let's cash some tickets tonight. Best of luck with all of your action!
Cameron Matthews (Miss St) Under 7.5 Rebounds (-125) (Bet365)
This rebounding number looks a tad high, even with the little bit of juice they're attaching to it. We cashed an Under with Matthews a couple of weeks ago and it doesn't look like the books have made any type of adjustment to his number. Perhaps the books are inflating this because Matthews grabbed 8 rebounds against Kentucky on January 17.
Matthews hasn't been crashing the boards too well of late. He's stayed under this total in 3 of his last 4 outings. Here are a few other key trends that support an Under in this spot:
- The Under is 17-10 vs. this number in Matthews' 27 games this season.
- The Under is 10-3 vs. this number in Matthews' 13 home games in 2023-24.
- Matthews' median rebounding number is 6.
- Matthews is averaging 7 rebounds per contest on the year.
The Olive Branch native is the best rebounder on this Bulldogs squad, but he has a tough matchup tonight against Kentucky. Matthews is 6'7" but he'll be competing against Kentucky big man Tre Mitchell for rebounds, who is 6'9". That should help our case for the Under!
J'Wan Roberts (Houston) Over 6.5 Rebounds (-118) (FanDuel)
FanDuel is one of the sharpest books in the industry when it comes to player props, but we think they made a mistake with this price. DraftKings has this juiced to -145 and Caesars isn't too far behind that at -141. Let's jump on that price discrepancy and play the Over.
Roberts is the top rebounder on this ferocious Houston team, and his rebounding median for the season is 7. Want some more trends that support an Over? We got you!
- Roberts has grabbed 7 or more rebounds in 16 of his 26 games this season.
- Roberts is 5-2 to the Over in his last 7 outings.
- He brought down 8 rebounds against Cincinnati on February 10th.
Cincy rebounds pretty well, so the matchup won't be a cake walk for Roberts. That being said, Roberts outweighs the Bearcats' top rebounder (Dan Skillings Jr.) by 20 pounds. Look for Roberts to easily sail Over this total.
Hunter Cattoor (VT) Over 2.5 3-Pointers Made (+105) (DraftKings)
This may be our favorite play of the evening! Cattoor is never shy about shooting the rock for the Hokies, as he averages over 6 attempts per game from 3-point land this season. The Orlando native is shooting better than 42% from downtown on the year, so the plus money at DraftKings is just too tempting.
Cattoor's median number of made 3-pointers is 3 during the '23-24 campaign. Here are a few other trends that shed some positive light on the Over tonight against Syracuse.
- Cattoor has gone over this total in 14 of his 26 games.
- He's also in good current form, as the Over is 6-4 his last 10 outings.
- Cattoor is 7-6 to the Over through 13 road/neutral games.
All of those trends are nice, but the main reason we like this play is the favorable matchup. Syracuse has struggled to defend the 3-ball all year long. The Orange rank just 253rd in the country in 3-point defense. Give us the Over!
