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NC State at Duke Betting Guide: Odds, Predictions, and Best Bet for Monday, January 27

Top Flight Wagers
January 27, 2025
NC State at Duke Odds, Predictions, and Best Bet for Monday, January 27

Welcome back college basketball fans! Another big week ahead with a ton of exciting matchups on the board. I found a great spot to back with the current season and historical trends that I am confident to back! Let's break it down!

Saturday, February 8 at 6:30 PMSpreadMoneyTotal
Duke Blue Devils
-7.5
(-102)
-300
O 134.5
(-110)
Clemson Tigers
+7.5
(-120)
+240
U 134.5
(-110)

The Wolfpack Streak Is on The Line

In 19 games this season, NC State is a perfect 100% at covering 22 points. Their biggest loss on the season was 18 points to a solid 15-5(7-2) Wake Forest squad on the road. And while they are 0-4 on the road, they covered 15 at #12 Kansas and lost by 3 each to Virginia and Virginia Tech. I do believe 22.5 is too many points, even for a 9-10 Wolfpack squad and I like them to keep this streak alive.

NC State has beaten Duke twice in a row, knocking them out of both the ACC tournament and the NCAA tournament, in their run to the Final 4. Since the 2020 season; NC State beat Duke by 5 and 12 at neutral sites, lost by 15 at home, lost by 4 at Duke, beat Duke by 24 at home, lost by 15 at Duke, lost by 16 at home, beat Duke by 22 at home, lost by 19 at Duke.

In those last 3 games at Cameron Indoor, Duke's average margin of victory was 12.6 points. State has also never lost by more than 19 and has beaten them by 24 and 22 in the past.

Is Duke Looking Ahead?

With North Carolina heading into Duke on Saturday, their arch nemesis, this could be a soft spot to pounce on Duke. Since the 2020 season, there has only been 1 instance, against Pittsburgh, that Duke beat a team by more than 22 the game before the North Carolina matchup.

State ranks 49th in the country on defense turnover % and they will need to cause enough to take possessions away from this Duke offense. State allows just 67 points per game, ranked 60th in the nation. While on the road they allow 75. If they can keep this Duke offense in the mid-80s, I believe State can find enough points to stay within 22!

My Best Bet:

1.5% - N.C. State +22.5 (-120)

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