After a nice 2-1 evening, we're hungry for more college hoops player props! Both of our Unders cashed with relative ease, as Tahron Allen and Issac McKneely stayed under their respective point totals for Wagner and Virginia. Our lone loser was an Over on Colorado State guard Isaiah Stevens, who surprisingly only had 5 field goal attempts against UVA.
Ready for more college basketball? Check out our March Madness betting guide for Wednesday, March 20 to start raking in some cash! Enjoy the games, and best of luck with all of your wagers!
Tra'Michael Moton (Grambling) Under 13.5 Points (+100) (DraftKings)
I like Moton's game, but this is a full bucket too high, according to both his median and his mean of around 11.5 points per game. Foul trouble may also be an issue for Moton, as he's fouled out of 3 games and has committed at least 3 fouls on 14 occasions this season. The Under is 22-12 versus this point total for Moton during the '23=24 campaign.
Montana State's defense is nothing to brag about, but they do defend the 3-ball decently (98th), so Moton shouldn't be able to hit multiple shots from downtown. The 6'1" guard only averages around 10.5 field goal attempts per game and he only gets to the free throw line around 2.5 times per contest.
Lastly, the Tigers tend to share the rock pretty well, as they have 3 players that average in double figures. I expect Moton to have an impact on this game, but more as a facilitator than a scorer. He's stayed under 13.5 points in 14 of his 22 road-neutral games. Give me the Under at this plus money price!
Jourdan Smith (Grambling) Under 11.5 Points (-115) (BetMGM)
Y'all know by now how fond I am of betting player props to stay Under, so let's stay in the same game for Play #2. Smith's a good all-around player, but he's only Grambling's 4th best scoring option. He did light it up from three-point land in the SWAC Title Game and finished with 20 points, which is probably why the oddsmakers priced this 2.5 points higher than his median point total of 9.
The yearly metrics also favor an Under, as Smith has scored 11 points or less in 19 of his 30 outings this season. The 6'7", 195-pound forward has also stayed under this total in 13 of his 18 road-neutral games. Even with his recent outburst, Smith has still stayed under in 2 of his last 3 contests.
Like his teammate Moton, Smith can also be prone to foul trouble. He's racked up 3 or more fouls in 17 of his 30 games. Smith could also be guarding Montana State forward Brandon Walker, who outweighs him by 55 pounds. Give us another Under!
Chibuzo Agbo (Boise St) Over 11.5 Points (-115) (DraftKings)
I wanted to play an Under in this Colorado vs. Boise State game, but just couldn't find enough value to pull the trigger. However, this Over on Agbo caught my eye. Abgo's tall for a college guard at 6'7" and I expect Colorado's backcourt to have a difficult time defending him.
Sure, Tyson Degenhart is the main offensive threat of this Broncos squad, but Agbo has been a consistent No. 2 scoring option all year long. His median point total is 14 this season and he's gone over this total in 20 of his 32 ball games. Agbo is also Boise's main threat from 3-point land, as he averages around 6 shots per game from downtown.
Colorado's defense does defend the three pretty well, but the Buffs rank just 131st in points allowed and 150th in opponent shooting percentage. Let's roll the dice with the Over on Agbo in the late game.
