We're ready to rock and roll after going 2-1 with our college basketball player props last night. After a tough 3-day skid, it felt great to be back on the right side of the ledger. We almost came up with the perfect sweep but Missouri's Tamar Bates bit us by the hook.
Thankfully, Caleb Love stayed under his point total to cash our top play. Jonas Aidoo of Tennessee also fouled out (just as we predicted) to help us cash another Under on his rebounding total. Check out what we have on the docket for Thursday, February 29.
Small PSA: After digging into our overall CBB player props record, we've found that our Unders have gone 20-8. Our Overs, on the other hand, have underperformed with a 5-13 record. All of this to say, we'll be focusing more on Unders for the remainder of the season.
Maxime Raynaud (Stanford) Under 16.5 Points (-105) (DraftKings)
Raynaud is Stanford's best scoring option, but this line has been inflated because of his 20-point performance against Utah back on January 14. This kid is 7'1" so I understand why some folks may like the Over just because of Raynaud's size.
Keep in mind though, that Utah has a 7-footer of their own in Branden Carlson to help contain Raynaud. The overall matchup against the Utes favors an Under in this spot.
Utah has a much tougher defense than most people realize. The Utes rank 46th in the nation in defensive efficiency and they are more than capable of keeping Raynaud Under this point total.
Key Betting Trends for the Under
- Raynaud's median point total is just 14 this season, which gives us an implied edge of around 15% on the Under
- Raynaud has scored 16 points or less in 17 of his 27 ball games.
- Raynaud is 2-1 to the Under over his last 3 outings.
Isaac Jones (Wash St) Under 7.5 Rebounds (-114) (FanDuel)
Jones is averaging 7.7 boards per game this season, so this one is a bit scary. He also came down with 11 rebounds against USC back on January 10th, which further adds to our concern.
Nevertheless, Jones will be battling it out with DJ Rodman (yes, he's Dennis Rodman's son) for rebounds tonight. That won't be an easy task. Current form also favors an Under for Jones, as he's grabbed 7 rebounds or less in 5 of his last 7 outings.
Jones has a median rebounding number of 7 this season, which tells us there's a bit of value on the Under. He's also stayed Under this total in 16 of his 28 games during the '23-24 season. That's enough for us to pull the trigger!
Anton Watson (Gonzaga) Under 7.5 Rebounds (-140) (Bet365)
I'll be the first to admit that I'm not too crazy about this moderate amount of juice. However, there is a lot to like about the Under tonight with Mr. Watson. Even though San Fran doesn't rebound the ball that well, Watson was still only able to bring in 7 boards against them back on January 25th.
As for the ever-important current form, that favors an Under as well. Watson has grabbed 7 rebounds or fewer in 5 of his last 6 ball games. He'll also be going up against Jonathan Mogbo tonight from San Fran, who is 6'8" and averages over 10 rebounds per game.
He's also been prone to getting into foul trouble lately, as he's committed 3 or more fouls in 4 of his last 5 games. That could limit his rebounding chances tonight.
Key Betting Trends for the Under
- Watson's median rebounds number is 7 this season
- Watson is 17-11 to the Under against this 7.5 line in '23-24.
- The Under is 7-6 in Watson's 13 games away from his home court.
