3 NHL Best-of-Board Props to Back on November 14

Saturday’s NHL board has two very different flavors: a matinee in Chicago where a rebuilding Blackhawks team hosts the Jets, and a night game in Toronto where the Pacific-leading Oilers visit a Maple Leafs team that has lost five straight at home. We pulled one prop from each corner, and the fun part is how different the risk profiles are. One is a pure volume play, one is a safe-ish floor, and one is a rookie getting more run than his price suggests.

Every number below comes from recent game logs and the current board, so you are betting on what these players have actually been doing, not on name value. Prices move all day, so check your book before you fire.

Leon Draisaitl Over 3.5 Shots on Goal at Toronto

Draisaitl is carrying a pace that looks like it belongs in a video game: 18 goals and 18 assists through 19 games, with 3.8 shots per game on the season. The recent trend is even louder. He has cleared 3.5 shots in 6 of his last 10 for a 4.2 average, and in his last five he is taking about 5.0 shots a night, with games of 7, 6, 4, 4 and 4 shots in that stretch.

The matchup helps too. Toronto ranks 22nd in the league in shots allowed to opposing forwards at 20.86 a game, and the Maple Leafs have lost five straight at home, so there is no reason to expect them to suddenly lock down the middle of the ice. Draisaitl fired 7 shots against this same team on October 24, and he is skating over 23 minutes a night across his last five.

The line is sitting at roughly even money at several books (+100 at DraftKings, around -107 at Caesars), which is a fair price for a player whose recent average is nearly a full shot above the number. This is the volume play of the day, and how betting odds work explains why a near even-money price on a high-floor shooter is such a good spot.

Connor Bedard Over 0.5 Points vs. Winnipeg

This is the safest looking leg of the three. Bedard has recorded a point in 9 of his last 10 games, averaging 1.2 points over that stretch, and he has 15 points (5 goals, 10 assists) through 13 games this season. Even on a Blackhawks team sitting at 5-13-1, he is the engine for almost everything Chicago does offensively.

The Jets are not exactly a wall. Winnipeg ranks 24th in points allowed to opposing forwards at 7.00 a game and 26th in assists allowed, which matters because most of Bedard’s production comes as a playmaker. He also scored and assisted in the October 15 meeting between these teams.

The catch is the price. You are laying heavy juice, with the over sitting around -192 to -200 depending on the book, so this is a bet for steady accumulation, not a big payout. If you build parlays, this is the kind of leg that holds the ticket together. Puck drop is 3:30 PM ET at the United Center.

Anton Frondell Over 1.5 Shots on Goal vs. Winnipeg

Now for the one with a little upside. Frondell has 34 shots in 19 games, and he is averaging just under 17 minutes a night with real power-play time, about two minutes a game. Dimers puts the probability of the over at 72.0% with a 12.0% edge at -150 at BetMGM.

Price shopping matters on this one. Some books are posting the over closer to -127 and others are up around -169, so a few minutes of line shopping can swing the value. The player prop search is a quick way to compare numbers before you place it.

Chicago is a home underdog and will likely spend plenty of time chasing the game against a Jets team that scored eight goals in its last outing. Trailing teams shoot, and a young forward with power-play minutes is exactly who benefits.

Lock These In

Three props, three different jobs: Draisaitl gives you volume at a fair price, Bedard gives you the steady floor, and Frondell gives you the sneaky value. Mix and match them as singles or build a three-leg card if you like the thrill.

• Leon Draisaitl OVER 3.5 shots on goal (around even money, check your book)
• Connor Bedard OVER 0.5 points (about -192)
• Anton Frondell OVER 1.5 shots on goal (-150 at BetMGM)

Saturday’s slate is short on certainty and long on fun, so grab the numbers you like, shop the price, and enjoy the ride.