3 Best-of-the-Board NHL Props to Back on November 13

Friday night’s NHL board is a two-game special, and that is exactly why we like it. Rangers at Canucks drops the puck at 9:00 PM ET, then Predators at Golden Knights follows at 10:00 PM ET. With only four teams in action, there is nowhere for a bad prop to hide, and the three plays below are the ones that stood out when we sorted through every skater on the slate.

We are mixing it up tonight: one goal scorer, one volume shooter facing the league’s leakiest defense, and one star whose shot rate is hard to ignore. The numbers below are real, and if the price at your book has moved, shop around and run it through an odds converter before you fire.

Steven Stamkos Anytime Goal Scorer (+200)

We started with Steven Stamkos over 2.5 shots on goal at +112 on FanDuel, which has cleared in 7 of his last 10 games. Then we checked the math. Stamkos has 46 shots on goal through 18 games this season, roughly 2.6 a night, so 2.5 is basically his average and the 7-of-10 run is a hot stretch more than a new baseline. The goal prop is the better bet, so that is the one we are taking.

The Nashville center has 10 goals this season, the most on the Predators, and he has scored at 0.52 goals per game across his last 100 games. One model puts his chance of scoring tonight at 35.4%, which beats the 33.3% implied by +200 and works out to a 2.1% edge. He is still logging about 18 and a half minutes a night, including nearly four on the power play.

Nashville also comes in hot, going 7-3 over its last 10 and covering the spread in nine of them. The total at Vegas has been bet down to 5.5 after opening at 6.5, a reminder that both goalies are expected to be busy but that goals will not come easy. Plus-money on the most reliable finisher on the road team is the kind of price we love.

Pavel Dorofeyev 2+ Shots on Goal Against a Sinking Canucks Defense

Here is the easy one. Pavel Dorofeyev, who wears number 16 for the Rangers, has put at least two shots on goal in 16 of his 20 games this season and is averaging 3.0 shots per game over his last 10. He leads New York in shots, and he has recorded at least one shot on goal in each of his last 10 outings.

Now look at who he is facing. Vancouver is 3-17 and has won just once in its last 10. The Canucks allow 4.5 goals per game, which ranks 32nd in the league, and they also rank last in power-play points allowed. New York is a heavy favorite at roughly -218, so the Rangers should spend plenty of time with the puck in the offensive zone, and Dorofeyev is the guy who gets it on net.

When a shooter clears a number 80 percent of the time against a defense this porous, the bet writes itself. Check your book for the exact price on 2+ shots on goal. Because the hit rate is so high, it may be juiced, but this is a prop worth paying up for.

Jack Eichel 3+ Shots on Goal at Home Against Nashville

Every card needs a swing, and this is ours. Jack Eichel, the Vegas center who wears number 9, has averaged 3.3 shots on goal per game over 93 career games with the Golden Knights, and the Puckwired model puts his chance of 3 or more shots tonight at 61%. Edgehalla’s shot model is more conservative at 53%, but it still ranks Eichel first on the entire slate for 3-plus shots.

We will be honest: this season has been quieter. He is averaging closer to 2.6 shots a game, and he went without a shot against New Jersey on October 30. That is why this is the high-variance play of the three. But he is at home, he is the engine of the offense, and Vegas is a -180 favorite that should hold the puck for long stretches against Nashville. The posted shot line has been 2.5 at DraftKings and BetOnline, so a 3-shot night is the target.

If you want to see how a prop like this can anchor a bigger ticket, our guide to same game parlays walks through stacking legs from one game.

Lock These In

Two games, three bets, and a nice spread of risk: a plus-money goal, a high-floor shot prop against the league’s worst defense, and a star shooter due for a bounce-back. Here is the card:

• Steven Stamkos anytime goal scorer (+200)
• Pavel Dorofeyev OVER 1.5 shots on goal (check your book for the price)
• Jack Eichel OVER 2.5 shots on goal (check your book for the price)

Prices move, so confirm before you bet, and only wager what you can afford to lose. Enjoy the doubleheader.