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UFC Fight Night Betting Guide: Odds and Best Bets for Emmett vs. Murphy

Bill Christy
Written by Bill Christy
April 2, 2025
UFC Fight Night Odds and Best Bets for Emmett vs. Murphy

UFC Fight Night returns to Las Vegas on Saturday, April 5th, with the Main Event pitting Josh Emmett against Lerone Murphy in a classic battle between two solid featherweights. Most online sportsbooks have Murphy listed as a -270 favorite. That line is understandable since Murphy is 15-0-1 in the division.

Need help betting on this week's version of UFC Fight Night? You've come to the right place! Our MMA insider shares his top picks below. Best of luck, and enjoy the action.

Main Event Play: Lerone Murphy by DEC (+100)

Lerone has won his last 4 fights via decision. Emmett is sure to try and push the pace early and look for one of his classic overhands to score a KO. Lerone is coming off a fight with a similar fighter in Dan Ige, where he scored a unanimous decision victory.

We believe that experience will serve him well in this one. Look for Murphy to avoid the big haymakers and make Emmett work in every round while gassing him out in the end.

Main Card Top Finish Play: Joanderson Brito by KO/TKO/DQ (+140)

We love Pat Sabatini, but this is not a good matchup for him. His last 2 losses have come via KO/TKO, and Brito loves to stand and bang.

We expect him to either pick Pat apart on the feet early or stuff any takedown attempts by Pat, which will lead him to forcing a standup fight where Brito has the distinct advantage.

Top Underdog Play: Gerald Meerschaert (+196)

Brad Tavares, his opponent, has lost 4 of his last 5 fights. His only win came against Chris Weidman, who was never the same since his leg injury.

We think this is going to be a tough matchup for Tavares, who is a striker by nature, and Meerschaert, who can use his experience (52 fights) to avoid the big shots and turn this into a grappling contest, which will frustrate Tavares.

Other Leans for All Remaining Fights:
Martin Buday (+270)
Davey Grant (+135)
Vanessa Demopoulos(-110)

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