3 NHL Best-of-the-Board Props to Back on Tuesday, October 27

Eleven games on the NHL board tonight, which means eleven chances for the puck to find its way toward a goalie’s chest. Shots on goal props are the quiet workhorse of hockey betting, and we’ve pulled a mixed trio from the slate that have the numbers, the matchups and the prices to make this a fun Tuesday.

The headliner is a 20-year-old Vegas rookie who is the top model play on the whole board, followed by a Dallas sniper who keeps firing the puck and a Carolina defenseman who treats every shift like a shooting drill. Grab a snack, pull up your book and let’s get into it.

Trevor Connelly Over 1.5 Shots on Goal Is a Rookie Bargain

Trevor Connelly has been a pleasant surprise in Vegas. The 20-year-old left wing wears No. 24 for the Golden Knights and has 4 goals and 4 assists through 13 games, along with 22 shots on net. That works out to roughly 1.7 per game, and he has cleared the 1.5 mark in six of those 13 outings, including a six-shot eruption against the Kings on October 10 and four against Chicago on September 29.

The recent log is a little quieter, with 1, 0, 1, 2 and 1 shots over his last five, and Vegas has dropped three in a row. But the opportunity is there: he skates around 14 to 16 minutes a night with time on the power play, and he has shown he can pile up volume in a hurry. Tonight’s game at T-Mobile Arena against Ottawa is a 10:00 PM ET start, and a rookie with a green light is exactly who you want on a shots prop.

The price is -165 at DraftKings, which is steep for a line this small, but the DraftKings promo code can soften the sting if you’re opening a new account. Dimers has this as the top model play on the slate at 77.8 percent probability with a 15.5 percent edge, and that is the kind of gap you want when you’re laying a juiced number.

Jason Robertson Over 2.5 Shots on Goal Has the Volume to Back It

If you want a shooter who treats 2.5 like a speed bump, Jason Robertson is your man. The Dallas left wing has 36 shots in 11 games this season, which is about 3.3 per game, and he’s playing over 20 minutes a night on the first line and first power play unit. Last season he put up 294 shots across all 82 games, one of the best marks of his career, so this isn’t a hot streak so much as a lifestyle.

He also arrives in form. Robertson has multiple points in four straight games, eight points (3 goals, 5 assists) over that stretch, and he scored twice in Sunday’s 6-3 win over the Islanders. He has 13 points through 11 games overall, and a player that involved in the offense tends to see the puck on his stick all night.

The matchup is a home date with New Jersey at American Airlines Center, 8:00 PM ET, with Dallas a favorite around -133 on the moneyline. The prop sits at -150 at DraftKings, and Dimers puts the probability at 63.6 percent. If you ever wonder why a number like -150 implies what it does, our guide on how betting odds work breaks it down in plain English.

Sean Walker Over 1.5 Shots on Goal Is a Defenseman Worth Trusting

Defensemen’s shot props can be sneaky good, and Sean Walker is a prime example. The Carolina blueliner wears No. 26, plays top-pair minutes at roughly 21 and a half per game, and has 24 shots on net in 13 games, about 1.85 per contest. He also has 25 blocked shots, so he’s involved at both ends of the ice.

The recent trend is what really sells this one. Walker’s last five games read 3, 5, 2, 2 and 2 shots on goal, so he has cleared 1.5 in every one of them. He also scored his first goal of the season on Saturday in a 4-0 shutout of St. Louis, adding three shots, three blocks and a plus-2 rating.

Tonight Carolina hosts Boston at Lenovo Center at 8:00 PM ET, with the Hurricanes sitting as heavy favorites near -190 against a Bruins team that is 9-2-1. When the home team controls the puck, the defensemen at the points get the shot attempts. The price is -135 at DraftKings, and Dimers gives this a 62.9 percent probability, which lines up with how consistently he’s been getting to two.

Lock These In Before Puck Drop

Three props, three different profiles: a rookie who gets his looks in bunches, a proven volume shooter with a hot stick, and a defenseman who has been a shot machine all month. Odds can move, so shop around for the best number before you place anything. The lines below are the DraftKings prices at the time of writing.

• Trevor Connelly (VGK) OVER 1.5 shots on goal (-165)
• Jason Robertson (DAL) OVER 2.5 shots on goal (-150)
• Sean Walker (CAR) OVER 1.5 shots on goal (-135)

Shots props are a grind, not a lottery ticket, so bet what you can afford and enjoy the ride. Check your book for the latest lines, and good luck tonight.