Seven NHL games, one Tuesday night, and a prop board that is basically an all-you-can-eat buffet. Instead of loading up on one type of bet, we are sampling a little of everything: a goal scorer in Toronto, a shots prop in Montreal, and an assist play in Columbus. Think of it as a three-course betting meal with a heavy side of hockey.
Each of these picks has a clear reason behind it, whether that is a hot stat line, a thin lineup, or a number that feels a little too low. We checked the matchups, the injuries, and the prices so you do not have to. Grab a snack, pull up the board, and let’s get into it.
Auston Matthews Anytime Goal Scorer: The Star Gets the Spotlight
Toronto hosts Colorado at 7:00 p.m. ET, and the Avalanche are road favorites with the Maple Leafs sitting at 8-9-2 on the year. That is exactly the kind of spot where a franchise center is worth a look on the plus-money board. Auston Matthews has 11 goals and 16 assists through 19 games, and he has put 58 shots on net, which works out to a 19.0 percent shooting clip. Plenty of players cannot hit that number with an empty net.
The volume is what keeps this bet interesting. Matthews is projected for roughly 3.8 shots against Colorado, and his shot line sits at 3.5 at near even money, which tells you the market expects him to fire away all night. Dimers puts his chance of scoring at around 37 to 38 percent, which usually beats the implied probability on a plus-money price. Brush up on how betting odds work and you will see why a player scoring more than a third of the time is a fine bet at the right number. Check your book for the current anytime price, and if you want to swing bigger, his first goal scorer price was sitting at +525 on StatMuse.
The matchup also helps. The game total is sitting at 6.5, so both nets should see traffic, and Matthews already has three power-play goals this season. A track meet on home ice is a fine place to chase a sniper.
Kirill Kaprizov Over 2.5 Shots on Goal: Volume Is the Whole Story
Over in Montreal, Minnesota visits the Canadiens at 7:00 p.m. ET, and Kirill Kaprizov’s line is sitting at 2.5 shots on goal on PrizePicks. That is a number he clears far more often than not. He has gone over 2.5 shots in 15 of his 19 games this season, and he is averaging about 3.2 shots per night with 61 shots on goal and a team-high 16 goals. When one player leads the team in goals and puts the puck on net that often, the line almost feels like a gift.
His ice time backs it up. Kaprizov plays more than 21 minutes a night on Minnesota’s top line, and one projection model has him at roughly three expected shots, with a 79 percent chance of at least two and a 57 percent chance of at least three. Minnesota is 12-3-4 and Kaprizov piled up four points in his most recent game against San Jose. If you like to play this kind of prop on a DFS app, take a look at our PrizePicks promo code page before you lock in.
The Montreal crease adds a little spice too. Jakub Dobes has struggled with a .847 save percentage, while Jacob Fowler sits at .925, so the goalie choice swings the night a bit. Either way, Kaprizov’s volume does the heavy lifting, and he does not need a soft goalie to clear 2.5.
Matthew Tkachuk Over 0.5 Assists: The Playmaker by Default
Florida visits Columbus at 7:30 p.m. ET with a lineup that looks very different from full strength. Aleksander Barkov and Brad Marchand are both on injured reserve, and that leaves Matthew Tkachuk as the Panthers’ go-to playmaker. He has just 4 goals but 22 assists, good for 26 points in 18 games, which is the profile of a guy who lives on passing.
The recent run is the real selling point. Tkachuk has an assist in four of his last five games, including three in a single night at Washington on November 7. With Barkov out, he is driving more of the top line and the power play, and that is where assists tend to pile up. Pinnacle has the over at -132, which is a fair price for a player collecting helpers at better than a point per game.
The risk is easy to see. If Florida scores just once or not at all in a tight road game, there are not many assists to go around. But Columbus is riding a winning streak into this one and Florida should still find enough looks to cash this ticket.
Lock These In
That is the board for Tuesday night: a sniper on a hot shooting run, a volume machine at a low line, and a passer carrying a banged-up lineup. Odds move, so shop around and take the best number you can find before puck drop. If you want to stack legs, our guide to same game parlays is a good place to start, though these three live in different games.
- Auston Matthews anytime goal scorer (check your book for the price)
- Kirill Kaprizov OVER 2.5 shots on goal (PrizePicks line)
- Matthew Tkachuk OVER 0.5 assists (-132)
Three picks, three different games, and a whole lot of hockey to enjoy. Bet responsibly, and may all three of these pucks find their way home.
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