Roster cuts hit this weekend across the NFL, and there’s no better stage for a last-chance audition than SoFi Stadium, where the Rams and Chargers close out their preseason slate against each other Thursday night. Both franchises call the building home, both have already learned plenty about their top units, and both still have real questions to answer at the bottom of their rosters before final numbers get called in. This is a game built entirely around fringe players trying to save their jobs.
A Crowded Defensive Bubble on Both Sidelines
The Chargers have some of the more interesting battles left to settle. Inside linebacker Junior Colson, a third-round pick still working through an injury-slowed start to his career, is squarely on the roster bubble heading into Thursday. He flashed with a 16-yard pick-six against San Francisco last week, but Marlowe Wax has consistently outplayed him through camp and carved out real value on special teams — meaning Colson likely needs a dominant, clean performance just to hold his spot. Defensive tackle TeRah Edwards has been disruptive enough this summer that the Chargers may be forced to carry a sixth interior lineman rather than let him walk, and the group behind edge rushers Khalil Mack, Tuli Tuipulotu and rookie Akheem Mesidor is still sorting out who claims a fourth or fifth spot.
The Rams have their own defensive shuffling. Outside linebacker Wesley Bailey has been one of the preseason’s better surprises, racking up seven tackles, a sack, a forced fumble and four quarterback hits, while cornerback Cam Lampkin is competing for what looks like the last open spot in the secondary behind Trent McDuffie, Jaylen Watson and Emmanuel Forbes Jr. Los Angeles’ NFC side also placed cornerback Zech McPhearson and outside linebacker Keir Thomas on season-ending injured reserve this week, a move that both signals confidence in their depth and creates a bit more opportunity for the players fighting to stick around.
Two Backup Quarterback Jobs, Zero Clear Answers
Neither team has settled its QB2 competition, which makes Thursday the last data point before decisions get made. For the Chargers, Trey Lance and DJ Uiagalelei remain locked in what head coach Jim Harbaugh has called a “tight” race behind Justin Herbert. Uiagalelei was 7-of-15 for 80 yards and a score in the last outing, while Lance went 10-of-16 for 73 yards through the air and 42 more on the ground, bringing his preseason line to 22-of-36 for 237 yards with an interception. Fans following the NFL odds page have watched this number shift slightly as this battle has played out. If this game doesn’t produce separation, the Chargers have gone outside the roster before to solve a backup quarterback question.
The Rams’ version of this story carries more long-term weight. Rookie first-rounder Ty Simpson has pushed veteran Stetson Bennett IV all summer for the right to back up Matthew Stafford, opening with a 190-yard, two-touchdown performance against Kansas City before Bennett answered with 181 yards passing and two rushing scores of his own against New Orleans. Bennett has taken the bulk of second-team reps in practice this week, and coach Sean McVay’s history of resting his backup quarterback in preseason finales suggests the job may already be his — even though Simpson is confirmed to play Thursday alongside undrafted rookie Matthew Caldwell. Readers brushing up before Week 1 can check our NFL betting guide for a refresher on how these markets work.
What the Numbers Say
Sportsbooks list the Chargers as favorites of roughly 3.5 to 4 points with the total hovering around 38.5, pricing that leans more on which roster looks more finished than which team is actually better long term. Harbaugh has referred to this as a dress rehearsal for a handful of starters who’ll see extended snaps, which should translate into a small early advantage before backups and bubble players take over the rest of the night. Bettors comparing options can look at a DraftKings promo code or FanDuel promo code before locking in a number.
Prediction and Best Bet
This projects as a low-event, roster-decision-driven game more than a competitive one, with both quarterback battles and a handful of defensive jobs likely decided by what happens over four quarters at SoFi.
Other Game Picks
- Patriots vs. Browns: A Full Breakdown of the Roster Battles Deciding Preseason’s Final Game
- Steelers vs. Bills Preseason Finale: Defensive Line and Roster Bubble Battles to Watch Thursday at Highmark Stadium
- 49ers vs. Raiders Preseason Finale: How to Watch, Odds and the Roster Battles That Actually Matter
- Prediction: Chargers 20, Rams 16
- Best Bet: Chargers -3.5
Watch the trench and linebacker reps closely in the second half — that’s typically where preseason finales actually get decided, well after the names casual fans recognize have already left the field. Readers can also browse our full betting tools section before placing a wager on Thursday’s finale.
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