We are back for week 2, coming off last week's beautiful article teaser play in that Ravens vs Chiefs thriller! That toe may or may not have saved A LOT of tickets that night, especially ours!
With week 1 in the books, we turn to Buffalo visiting Miami, in what should bring us some explosive moments and an exciting 4th quarter!
| Player | Prop | Price |
|---|
| Keon Coleman | Over 38.5 Reception Yards | |
| Keon Coleman | Under 38.5 Reception Yards | |
Can Keon Coleman Do It Again?
Coleman, Bills 2nd round pick from last year has a very solid start to his rookie campaign. Against the Cardinals' lowly defense, he racked up 4 catches, on 5 targets, hauling in 80% of his targets. The biggest surprise stat was his 21.7% target share, by far the most in game 1 with Cook/Shakir seeing 13% each.
Now NFL defenses do make adjustments so I do foresee the Dolphins targeting Coleman a bit to push the ball more toward Shakir/Coleman, but that will be easier said than done. Coleman showed us numerous route combinations, whether it was over the middle, or on the sideline, where he can go and make a catch. The route timing with Allen was not perfect and he still had a great first game!
The Dolphins allowed 13.5 yards/rec to Trevor Lawrence last week on just 12 completions. Put that in perspective as Allen has averaged 26.7 completions vs Miami over 7 starts, and hit at least 21 completions in 6 straight. Two Jags hit this number last week, both wide receivers!
| Player | Prop | Price |
|---|
| Josh Allen | Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer | |
Allen Will Score Again!
Josh Allen has a knack for scoring, whether it's in the air, or on the ground. One stat stuck out to me, I cannot ignore. This is a play my subscribers and followers were on last week, and a lot last season.
In his last 18 starts, he has scored in 15 of those games. In 5 of his last 9 games he has at least 2 rushing touchdowns. It is no secret the Bills want to feature Cook, but with Allen’s propensity to rush, especially when they get near the goaline, this tends to be an automatic play.
The one caveat is the head to head isn’t great for rushing touchdowns. Allen has only scored in 2 of the 7 games, both at home, but I believe the situation is perfect for him to find one more here. I can still see him getting his 2 passing touchdowns with 1 rushing touchdown, which is why I used a 50% Boost on this play!
My Best Bets:
Keon Colemon (Buf) o43.5 RecYds (-113) Fanduel
Josh Allen (Buf) Anytime TD (-110 Boosted to +136) Fanduel
Bonus Bet: Tyreke Hill (Mia) Anytime TD (-125) MGM/Fliff
Live player props data coming soon for Tyreek Hill.
