The NFL is back for another edition of Thursday night football and boy do we need a bounce back after last Thursday’s article. I gave you guys two stinkers while we cashed our other plays in premium, and you guys deserve some winners!
We have an exciting matchup, as it is every time they play, between the Bengals and Ravens. Last game we saw a ton of offense, a lot of points, and the stars showed out. Can they repeat their last performance, or will the defenses make any adjustments? We are about to find out!!
Live player props data coming soon for Derrick Henry.
Is Henry Unstoppable?
That is a serious question, is he? In 9 straight games, Henry has cashed this longest rush line. This was set to 18.5 and you still may be able to get that somewhere, but I opted for 19.5 at plus money!
Teams like to run against Cincy, sitting at the 3rd most attempts against. They have limited explosiveness in the run game, allowing only 4, 20+ runs, and 1, 40+ rush. Against this same Bengals team, Henry rushed for a 51-yarder and has gone over this line by at least 5 yards or more in every other game this has cashed in.
What makes this play interesting is teams cannot load the box against this Ravens' passing attack. Their offense is so well-balanced that teams have to pick their poison. If the Bengals decide to load the box, or send special blitz packages, it only takes 1 break for Henry to find 20+ yards.
In home games, Henry has cashed this in all 4, and while Cincy is 5th in the league in rush yards/attempt (4.2), they have given up the 13th most yards, and will certainly look to slow Flowers, Andrews and Co.
| Player | Prop | Price |
|---|
| Ja'Marr Chase | Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer | |
Can Chase Find Another One?
Ja/Marr is coming off a game where he did not score and was limited on touches. In his previous game this season vs Baltimore he has 193 receiving yards on 12 targets and 10 receptions. Now my hesitation here is Chase has not played very well when traveling to Baltimore.
In fact, in his last 2 games at Baltimore, he has a total of 63 receiving yards, 12 in his last game, and 50 the game before that. Having said that, he still found a way to score in last year's game, with 12 receiving yards. It only takes 1, especially if they find the red zone which I am banking on at least 3-4 red zone trips tonight for the Bengals.
Chase has scored in 4 of his last 5 head to head matchups with the Ravens. He has also cashed a touchdown in 5 of his last 7 games this season. I do believe this game gets close to the total if not going over once again. I would be shocked to see a lower scoring game here and I will bank on Burrow finding his top target tonight.
My Best Bets (2):
Derrick Henry (BAL) o19.5 Longest Rush (+105)
Ja’Marr Chase (CIN) Anytime TD (-115)
