Who’s going to win the NFC East this year? That is a question that many fans and analysts continue to ponder throughout the offseason. This is a unique division, as there hasn’t been a back-to-back winner since the early 2000s.
The Philadelphia Eagles won the division for four straight years, from 2001-2004, but since then, it’s been a crap shoot. The Eagles have had their time in the sun, as have the New York Giants, Washington Commanders, and Dallas Cowboys.
This has been the most polarizing division in football. With the Cowboys winning the division last season with a 12-5 record, history would tell you that they won’t win it again this year. Will they reverse the curse? We will find out in a few months.
Until the action plays out, we have put together some analysis of each team in the division, looking at what each team has done in the offseason, and taking a peek at their win total lines for the 2024 campaign. There could be some surprises along the way, so let’s get into it!
New York Giants (Current Win Total Over/Under: 6.5)
We were a bit surprised to see the Giants win total of 6.5. Sure, winning seven games might not seem that difficult on paper for an NFL team, but it’s more difficult than you might think. As previously mentioned, the NFC East stands to be ultra-competitive this year, and unfortunately for the Giants, they might not be able to keep up with their competition.
The Giants did win six games last year without Daniel Jones as their primary starter due to injury, but we believe that was more of a fluke than anything. Besides, the Giants showed throughout the offseason that they weren’t excited about the future of their team with Jones at the helm, and we have little confidence in his ability to lead this team to a meaningful season, at least in the win/loss column.
The Giants’ defense also hasn’t gotten that much better, and despite adding an elite prospect like Malik Nabers to their offense, in our opinion, this team doesn’t have what it takes to win seven games. We’re taking the under from Caesar’s here.
Washington Commanders (Current Team Win Total Over/Under: 6.5)
We’re officially hopping on the Jayden Daniels bandwagon. Daniels was a highly touted quarterback prospect heading into this year’s draft, and we’re banking on him to be the prince that was promised for the Commanders. We saw what C.J. Stroud was able to do with the Houston Texans last year, and while we don’t anticipate Daniels to have quite that solid of a season, there is reason to believe that he’ll be a breath of fresh air for this organization.
The Commanders have struggled to find their footing over the past few years as it pertains to the QB position, and Daniels should fill that role nicely for them. Similarly to teams like the New York Jets and Atlanta Falcons, the Commanders have put together some great skill-position players in their offense but were just waiting for the right quarterback to come along and help put the pieces together.
We don’t anticipate the Commanders to win the division by any means, but with Daniels’ collegiate track record in mind, there’s no reason to believe that they won’t win at least seven games this season.
Dallas Cowboys (Current Team Win Total Over/Under: 9.5)
The Cowboys have been one of the most discussed teams of the NFL offseason. After putting together a solid regular season in 2023, they choked at home in the playoffs, losing in blowout fashion to the Green Bay Packers. This caused fans and analysts to ask many questions about this team’s future, especially as it pertained to head coach Mike McCarthy and quarterback Dak Prescott.
While these questions persisted, the front office, namely, Jerry Jones, remained adamant and confident that these two are supposed to be the figureheads for the organization moving forward. Prescott will do his best to lead the team on the field, and McCarthy will work to put the right schemes and plays together to help them succeed.
There are still questions about what this team will look like in 2025, but for now, we believe their formula will work in 2024. We can’t speak to what they’ll accomplish in the postseason, but we are under the impression that the Cowboys will rack up at least 10 wins in the regular season, hitting the over on their season-long line. The battle for the division title between them and the Philadelphia Eagles could come down to the wire, and we’re excited to see how it all shakes out.
Philadelphia Eagles (Current Team Win Total Over/Under: 10.5)
As you likely deduced from our analysis above, we believe the NFC East will come down to the Eagles and the Cowboys. Sure, the Commanders might put together a run, encouraging season, but at the end of the day, this is a two-horse race. The Eagles will look a lot different in 2024 than they did in 2023, but their core is mostly together.
Jalen Hurts still has weapons like A.J. Brown and DeVonta Smith at his disposal, and the defense, while flawed at some positions, has some star power that can make up for any inadequacies. The Eagles faltered in the back half of the 2024 campaign, a fall that nobody saw coming. We hope that this was a one-time thing, and that Hurts will bring this team back to their dominant ways.
They did represent the NFC in the Super Bowl in 2022, and after a disappointing year, we’re confident that the Eagles could make a deep playoff push again this year. Look for them to win 11 or 12 games this year, battling all season with the Cowboys for the coveted No. 1 spot in this difficult division.
