The Pacers were just a few minutes away from leading this series 3-1. Instead, Shai, Jalen Williams, and the Thunder are just two games away from winning their first championship as this series is now a best-of-three with two games coming in Oklahoma City.
While SGA and Williams should continue their solid play, watch out for two guys that haven’t had any big games within this series just yet. The Canadian Andrew Nembhard is due to get hot from downtown while Isaiah Hartenstein’s playmaking is a key component for the Thunder who had just 11 dimes in Game 4’s victory.
Andrew Nembhard (IND) OVER 1.5 Three-Pointers Made
Andrew Nembard sits inside the top three in three-point percentage in the playoffs. One of the games’ clutchest performers, the combo guard from Canada has gone under the radar since his unbelievable three-pointer over SGA in Game 1 in Oklahoma City.
He has shot 4/10 from beyond the arc since that shot while scoring just 10.8 PPG in this series which is just a tick above his regular season average. With McConnell and Mathurin giving this team plus minutes in Game 3 especially, Andrew’s props have dropped a fair amount.
With that being said, Nembhard has ice in his veins and with Haliburton, Mathurin, and Siakam commanding all the attention on offense, the young Canadian will be the unsung hero for Indiana on Monday night.
Isaiah Hartenstein (OKC) OVER 1.5 Assists
This is the best prop on the market for Game 4 on Monday night. Hartenstein has regained access into more of the rotation combinations for the Thunder, playing as the lone big or joining Holmgren for the usually successful double-big lineup.
Hartenstein averaged over 3.5 dimes per game in the regular season and while only playing 20 minutes per game in this series thus far, his short rolls, lob passes to Chet, and movement assists to 3-point shooters has been elite when on the court.
In the two games where IHart played 20+ minutes in this series, he’s gone for 4 & 3 assists. That’s enough for us to play the Over in this spot for Game 5.
| Wednesday, October 21 at 8:10 PM | Spread | Money | Total |
| Indiana Pacers |  -4.5 (-105) |  -165 | O 243.5 (-110) |
| New Orleans Pelicans | +4.5 (-115) | +140 |  U 242.5 (-110) |
Best Bet: Indiana Pacers +9.5
Though Oklahoma City is back to being heavy favorites to win this series, I will not count out Indiana just yet. Carlisle and the Pacers were just a few possessions and free throws away from taking a 3-1 lead into Oklahoma.
Although last game didn’t turn in their favor, holding OKC to just 11 assists is a positive sign while their 30.6% shooting from beyond the arc should be a low mark for this sharpshooting team moving forward.
Again, banking on a big contribution from Andrew Nembhard in this game, Indy should be able to hang in once again against the West champs.
The smartest 5 minutes in betting
Get the week's best offers, line moves, and data-driven picks — straight to your inbox. No spam, unsubscribe anytime.
Join 240,000+ subscribers. 21+ only.
