The NBA Finals shifts to Boston with the series tied at 1 game apiece. The Celtics got the best of the Warriors with a 12-point victory in game 1. The Warriors countered that with a blowout victory at home in game 2. Both games were decided by a dominant quarter from each team. In the 4th quarter of game 1 the Celtics outscored the Warriors 40 to 16. In game 2 the Warriors outscored the Celtics 35 to 14 in the 3rd quarter which ultimately put the game out of reach.
The Boston Celtics get their first opportunity to defend home court at TD Garden Wednesday night at 9:00 PM on ABC. Looking at the game 3 odds, the Warriors visit Boston as underdogs for the first time this series. The Celtics are 3.5-point favorites, and the total is set at 212.5 for game 3 of the tied series. We have zoned in on our 3 favorite player props for game 3 of the NBA Finals.
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Klay Thompson Over 18.5 Points
Best Available Odds: -120 at Caesars
Klay Thompson has not had his best performances thus far in the first two games of the Finals. However, this is no different from any other series this postseason. Klay has been abysmal for his standards averaging just 15.4 points on 39% shooting in the first 2 games of every series this postseason. These averages increase to 22 points per game on 48% shooting in all other games.
We believe the Celtics will make things difficult for Curry on the offensive end, which could open the floor for Thompson to finally get things going offensively. Klay’s lack of contribution offensively has been a hot topic for the media. This could add extra motivation for the sharpshooter. We believe coach Steve Kerr and the Warriors will look to get Klay back on track early and often in game 3 and he will go over 18.5 points.
Grant Williams Over 5.5 Points
Best Available Odds: -128 at FanDuel
Grant Williams has been a completely different player at home this postseason as opposed to on the road. Grant is averaging 3 more points per game this postseason when playing in Boston, which has also helped him stay on the court longer in home games. He is averaging 11 points per game at home on 40.3% shooting from the field. Also, Grant is averaging 2.3 3-point field goals made per game at home this postseason. All of these are big improvements from his play on the road in the playoffs. We expect Grant to cruise past 5.5 points and possibly score double digit points in game 3 of the NBA Finals.
Stephen Curry Under 28.5 points
Best Available Odds: -108 at BetRivers
Steph Curry has been the Warriors best player all season as well as the postseason. He is the team’s leading scorer, but Curry has been slightly less productive on the road this postseason. He is averaging 1.5 points less per game on the road with an average of 25.1 points. His 3-point shooting percentage drops from 40% to 36% when playing on the road this postseason.
Although Curry has been outstanding scoring 63 points combined in the first 2 games of this series, we do not believe he will continue to stay this hot. We expect the Celtics defense to make an emphasis to shut down Curry after he torched them in the first 2 games. Look for Curry to go under 28.5 points in game 3 of the NBA Finals in Boston.
