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Our Underdog 2-Man Play and MLB Best Bet for Thursday, July 11

Wades Bets
Written by Wades Bets
July 11, 2024
Our Underdog 2-Man Play and MLB Best Bet for Thursday, July 11

Welcome back baseball fans! Morton let us down last night, but hindsight, it was always a risky play as the Diamondbacks offense has sputtered all year against right hand pitching.

They thrive against lefty’s and we will see how they fare tonight vs Fried. Today we have a nice little 2-Man Underdog play along with a straight bet to give you some action on this Thursday slate!

Live player props data coming soon for Jordan Hicks.

Can Blue Jays Get To Hicks?

Jordan Hicks' outs line was set to 16.5 today which is a bit of a head scratcher. He is under this line in 12 straight games, 6 of 9 at home, and Toronto is coming off a game last night where they just dispatched Logan Webb, who is a far superior pitcher. At home he is under this in 5 straight and 6 of his last 7, where he has hit 16 just once in his last 5 home games.

The Blue Jays offensively have been up and down, but they do K and will walk, both top 10 ranking vs RHP L15, which draws the pitch count higher.

Another reason I like this play is Toronto sits with the 6th most pitches per plate appearance, something important to get him out of this game early. He normally sees high 80’s pitch count and typically stays around the 14-16 out range all season.

This Underdog 2-Man Will Cash!

We have been dubbing in the DFS space recently and have been enjoying it so far! We cashed our 2-man yesterday and we are back for more. We have found some niche markets that have been working out well for us!

Live player props data coming soon for David Peterson.

David Peterson vs Nationals

In Peterson’s 2 games against the Nationals this season, he has 0 strikeouts in the 1st inning. He has also started 7 games this season and has more than 1.5 strikeouts in just 1 game, which was against the rival Yankees after he reached the middle of the order in the 1st inning.

I don’t see that happening here. Over the last 15 days, Nationals are striking out at the 27th lowest rate vs LHP, and outside of Abrams with a 24% strikeout rate vs left hand pitching, the following 8 hitter strike out at 18% or less to left-handed pitching and the top 5 batters K (24%, 14%, 18%, 14%, 13%).

I like our chances to stay under 1.5 again today. Hopefully this won't be too much of a 1st inning sweat!

Live player props data coming soon for Hunter Greene.

Hunter Greene Gets A Juicy Matchup

Sure, Greene is prone to the occasional blow up at home, Great American Ball Park allows the 4th most runs in any ballpark all season and is consistently one of the easiest parks to score runs in.

Having said that, he has navigated the 1st inning terrifically this season. Greene has a 7-3 home record this season and was 7-1 at home last season.

He faces the Rockies today that are hitting.172 average against right-handed pitchers on the road over the last 30 days. They are also hitting .160 over the last 15 days, both dead last in the league. We just need 3 outs!

My Best Bets:

Jordan Hicks u16.5 Outs (-127) Bally

Underdog 2-Man (1.26X)
David Peterson Lower 1.5 1st Inn Ks
Hunter Greene Lower 0.5 1st Inn Runs

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