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We had a solid weekend on the links for our prop plays last weekend at the Sanderson Farms Championship. We took both Gary Woodland and Wyndham Clark to miss the cut at +150 each and neither made the weekend, allowing us to cash our tickets on both.
We also took 2 players to finish inside the Top 40. Denny McCarthy was just on the plus side of the money and came through for us by finishing just inside with a tie for 39th. CT Pan didn’t make the mark for us and Henrik Norlander fell just short of the Top 20 where we had a +160 ticket on him.
This weekend we are treated to the Shriners Children’s Open that takes place at TPC Summerlin in Vegas. Sungjae Im is in the field looking to defend his title from last season. Here are our 5 favorite props to bet.
McNealy has made 4 of the last 5 starts at TPC Summerlin but has only made the weekend once. It was back in 2020 when he last made the cut here, finishing 37th.
McNealy has really struggled on his approaches over the last year or so and they will bite him again here. He has some nice skills but his overall iron game needs work.
Keith Mitchell to Miss Cut
Best Available Odds: +150 at DraftKings
McNealy missing 3 of 4 cuts is pretty bad but Mitchell has been even worse. In all 4 previous starts here, he has failed to make the cut.
It seems odd that a player that is so strong off the tee and on the green has failed so many times to make the weekend at this event. However, much like McNealy, he ranks low in strokes gained on approaches.
Top 40: Tom Hoge
Best Available Odds: -115 at DraftKings
Hoge has missed the cut just once in his last 4 starts at the Shriners. In his 3 finishes, he has an average finish of 15th with his lowest finish being 24th.
The 33-year-old finished last season ranked 11th in strokes gained on approaches. He'll use his ability to get tight on those approaches to make his way into the top 40 this weekend.
Top 40: Andrew Putnam
Best Available Odds: -115 at DraftKings
Putnam’s last missed cut here came in 2018. Since then, he has had two top 20 finishes with a 58th finish in 2021 sprinkled in there.
The former Pepperdine star is coming off an 11th place finish last year at the Shriners, which should give him some good vibes this week. Putnam also finished 30th just last week at the Sanderson Farms Championship, so his current form is pretty decent.
Top 20: Matthew NeSmith
Best Available Odds: +300 at DraftKings
We absolutely love the value we are getting here. NeSmith has made 3 straight starts here over the last 3 seasons and his worst finish was 18th in 2020. He cracked the top 10 the following year with an 8th place finish and grabbed a 14th place finish last year.
NeSmith looks to be in good form, finishing tied for 9th last week at the Sanderson. We expect him to be in contention on the weekend and will be pulling for a 4th straight top 20 here.
Bill Christy is a seasoned bettor who operates his own handicapping business. As a senior writer, Bill provides in-depth analysis and identifies edges across several sports at EatWatchBet, including the NFL, CFB, NBA, CBB, and UFC.
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21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA).
