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NBA Player Prop Best Bet Picks for Thursday, May 12

5 NBA Player Prop Best Bets for Thursday, May 12
By Kyle Guenthner on May 12, 2022

Thursday night in the NBA includes both one-seeds going on the road with hopes of closing out their respective series in 6 games. The Sixers and the Mavericks have their backs against the wall at home as they try to keep their Finals hopes alive. The Sixers are a 2-point favorite at home against the Heat tonight, and the Suns are 2-point favorites in Dallas against the Mavericks.

The tight spreads suggest that there could be an exciting night of NBA basketball ahead of us tonight. The Heat at the Sixers tips off at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN followed by the Suns visiting the Mavericks at 9:30 PM ET on ESPN. We have zoned in on our 5 favorite player props for Wednesday night.

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Bam Adebayo Under 7.5 Rebounds

Best Available Odds:  +120 at Caesars

For a center, grabbing 8+ rebounds is not a tall task but for Bam Adebayo it has been this series. In the first two games of this series Bam was able to go over this number rather easily. When Embiid came back into the lineup, things changed on the glass for Bam. Since Embiid’s return, Bam has logged under 7.5 rebounds in three straight games.

The Heat have shown that they can rebound from any position on the court as 8 different Heat players are averaging more than 3 rebounds per game this postseason. With Bam averaging just 5.3 rebounds per game this series when Embiid plays, we expect Bam to go under 7.5 rebounds for a fourth straight game.

Tobias Harris Over 14.5 Points

Best Available Odds:  -112 at FanDuel

Tobias Harris has played much better this series without Embiid on the court, but we do not see that being an issue tonight. With Embiid clearly in a lot of pain, the Sixers need other guys to play a larger role tonight if they want to force a game 7 in Miami. Harris is averaging 16.4 points this series. Harris has scored 15+ points in 7 of 11 postseason games this year, and he believe he will get this done once again.

Luka Doncic Over 32.5 Points

Best Available Odds:  -106 at BetRivers

If you have been keeping an eye on this series, you would know that Luka does not like Devin Booker and the Suns. Luka has become one of the chippiest players in the league, and he tends to elevate his aggressive play in these type of moments. That being said, we believe Luka will attempt 25+ shots in a potential elimination game for his Mavericks squad. If Luka can shoot close to 50% from the field on his home court tonight, he will cruise past 32.5 points.

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Mikal Bridges Over 1.5 Blks+Stls

Best Available Odds:  -130 at DraftKings

Mikal Bridges has been a difference maker on both sides of the court in this series. His length and speed has generated a great amount of steals and blocks this season, and he has continued this into the playoffs. Bridges is averaging 2.4 blocks + steals per game this series.

Bridges has gone over 1.5 blocks + steals in 4 out of 5 games this series and we expect him to add one more to the over tally tonight.

Jalen Brunson Over 4 Rebounds

Best Available Odds:  +115 at Caesars

The Mavericks has a great rebounding backcourt as they have shown all season. Despite being a shorter guy, Brunson has put up decent rebounding numbers this postseason. He is averaging 4.8 rebounds this series against the Suns and has not gone under 4 rebounds once in this series. We like this number at 4 tonight with 4 rebounds being a push and not a loss. Look for Brunson to be aggressive snatching more than 4 rebounds in tonight’s game 6 matchup.

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