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We finished a decent 2-2 on our props last Thursday. Tyreek Hill put up a great stat line of 10 catches and 100+ yards but failed to find the endzone for us. The Bengals squeaked past our team total under on them by 2 points. Burrow went well over his total passing yards and Tyler Boyd grabbed a 43-yard catch to go over the 17.5 number set by books for this longest reception in the game.
This week we have some more big names in the mix with Jonathan Taylor, Michael Pittman, and Russell Wilson playing on Thursday night this week. Let’s take a look at which props look good for us to play this Thursday.
Best Available Odds: +210 at FanDuel
Jeudy found the endzone last week for the 1st time since Week 1. His reception to target rate was finally at an adequate number with 5 catches on 7 targets. When he and Russ are on the same page, he thrives and typically reaches paydirt. We like him here with the value we are getting and Denver’s question marks in the backfield.
Best Available Odds: -125 at BetMGM
This play is juicy and as always, for good reason. Ryan has tossed 5 balls to the opposing team through just 4 games this season. The Broncos have just one pick this year but with the mile high air and inconsistency of Ryan, we like our chances of him throwing his 6th in this matchup.
Best Available Odds: -101 at Caesars
Pierce has been the hidden gem in the offense lately for Matt Ryan. He was targeted 5 times against KC and grabbed 3 of those balls for 61 yards. Last week, he saw an increase in targets by 1 and grabbed 4 balls for 80 yards. We believe these numbers will continue to trend in the upward direction and like playing him until the oddsmakers increase his total number.
Best Available Odds: +225 at DraftKings
The Colts have led in 2 of their 4 games this season after the 1st quarter. The Broncos have gotten off to some slow starts and with question marks in their backfield, we like the value on the Colts early here.
We love playing the odds on the first touchdown of the game when it is a 1 game slate. Here are the 3 players that we believe provide the most value on the 1st touchdown prop for Thursday night:
Russell Wilson +2700 (FanDuel)
Alec Pierce +2200 (BetMGM)
Jerry Jeudy +1000 (FanDuel)
Bill Christy is a seasoned bettor who operates his own handicapping business. He provides in-depth analysis and identifies edges across several sports at EatWatchBet, including the NFL, NBA, CBB, and UFC. Follow Bill on Twitter at @LarrysLocks2
21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA).