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We get an AFC East rivalry to enjoy for Thursday Night Football in Week 13. The Buffalo Bills head to Foxboro to take on the New England Patriots. Buffalo sits in a tie with Miami for the division lead at 8-3 while New England is in last place at 6-5.
Oddsmakers currently have the Bills listed as a 4-point favorite and the total is sitting at 43.5 at the time of this writing. The Bills have won 2 in a row after dropping back-to-back games to the Vikings and Jets. The Pats are trying to shake off a disappointing loss to the Vikings on Thanksgiving that snapped their 3-game winning streak.
After researching this game, we found 3 player props to bet early! For a little extra action, we also included some bonus 1st TD picks. Good luck!
The Patriots' defense will be focused on limiting the opportunities Stefon Diggs will have to hurt them. This will leave gaps for Davis to take advantage of.
Davis has not scored in the last 2 games and it feels like he is due to score here in this one. At 5 touchdowns on the season, he is 2nd behind Diggs’s 9 and tied with Allen’s 5 rushing touchdowns.
We think this is a good price on Davis to find the endzone on Thursday Night. FanDuel is being overly generous with this one in our opinion.
Mac Jones Over 0.5 Interceptions
Best Available Odds: -150 at BetMGM
The Bills are 2nd in the league with 13 interceptions on the season. They failed to pick off Jared Goff last week which would imply that they are due for one here against the Pats.
Mac Jones has more interceptions (7) than touchdowns (6) this season. He has gone 3 straight games without tossing a pick but he will get back to his giving self this Thursday night.
Devin Singletary UNDER 54.5 Rushing Yards
Best Available Odds: -115 at DraftKings
The Patriots are in the top 10 of the league in rushing defense. Allen will add a different threat to this play but in a good way for our bet. The Patriots are allowing just over 100 rushing yards per game.
Allen is averaging over 50 per game and will likely have more than Singletary. We believe the Pats may get burned once or twice by Allen but not by Singletary.
Our numbers have Singletary topping out at about 41 rushing yards so we'll gladly jump on the Under.
BONUS 1st Touchdown Darts
We love playing the odds on the 1st touchdown of the game when it is a 1 game slate. Here are the 3 players that we believe provide the most value on the 1st touchdown prop for Thursday night:
Hunter Henry +1900 (DraftKings)
Gabe Davis +1100 (DraftKings)
Bills Defense/Special Teams +2800 (DraftKings)
Bill Christy is a seasoned bettor who operates his own handicapping business. He provides in-depth analysis and identifies edges across several sports at EatWatchBet, including the NFL, NBA, CBB, and UFC. Follow Bill on Twitter at @LarrysLocks2
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21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA).
