Aspinall vs Tybura Our 6 Best Bets for UFC Fight Night
Written by Bill Christy
July 21, 2023

Aspinall vs Tybura: Our 6 Best Bets for UFC Fight Night

Ready for UFC Fight Night? If not, we're here to help! Check out our 6 best bets for all of the matchups on Saturday, July 22, including our pick for the Main Event between Aspinall and Tybura.

Prelim Top Play: Daniel Marcos

Marcos is undefeated at 14-0 and is getting his 1st real test here in the UFC. He has been matched against hometown boy, Davey Grant. While Grant has won back-to-back fights over Assuncao and Smolka, he had lost his previous 2 fights.

Grant has never been knocked out in his career and Marcos has had 8 of his 14 wins come via KO/TKO. While it could be a nice payout for Marcos to win by KO/TKO, we like playing the juiced moneyline here in case of a decision victory.

Prelim Card Underdog Play: Yanal Ashmouz

We are backing yet another undefeated fight here. Both Ashmouz and Duncan were on the same card in their last fights (Edwards vs Usman 3). Duncan won by split decision while Ashmouz won via KO in epic fashion.

Being 7-0, Ashmouz has 4 via KO/TKO and 2 via submission, he continues to get disrespected u by the oddsmakers. As a short underdog here, we like the value we are getting on Ashmouz.

Prelim Card Top Parlay: Makhmud Muradov & Joel Alvarez

Muradov is facing Bryan Barberena in a middleweight contest. He has lost 2 straight after winning 14 straight fights prior. He looks to get back to his winning ways here and using his 3-inch reach advantage.

Barberena has lost his last 2 fights as well with both being by submission. Muradov is a healthy favorite here and will prove why he is getting this type of respect.

Alvarez was making his way up the lightweight rankings and was given an opportunity in his last fight to Arman Tsarukyan. Unfortuantely, he was decimated by Arman in the 2nd and lost via KO/TKO. Now he gets Marc Diakiese who has been up and down recently.

He is just 2-3 in his last 5 fights and is going to have real trouble with Alvarez. A 17th submission victory here for Alvarez is likely but we will parlay the moneyline to keep it simple.

Main Event Play: Tom Aspinall by KO/TKO/DQ

Aspinall is coming off a freak injury in his last fight against Curtis Blaydes. Prior to that fight, he was running through the heavyweight division and was ready to get a shot at the title.

Now, he begins his comeback bid and it starts with Marcin Tybura who has won 4 of his last 5 fights. At 24-7, Tybura has lost 4 of his 7 via KO/TKO.

On the flip side, Aspinall has won 8 of his 12 wins via KO/TKO. Aspinall’s athleticism will allow him to either pick Tybura apart on the feet or he will level change to get him on the ground for some ground and pound in front of the hometown crowd.

Main Card Top Parlay: Molly McCann & Nathaniel Wood

Molly finally got a big-time opponent in her last fight. Erin Blanchfield absolutely dominated her, proving that Molly is simply not at that level yet. Here, she gets Julija Stoliarenko who is just 10-8-2 in her career.

This one seems like a gift to Molly for her to bounce back in front of the O2 Arena. Nathaniel Wood is also at home here and has won 3 of his last 4 fights, all by decision.

He has Andre Fili here who is 22-9 but 2-2-1 in his last 5 fights. Wood will have a 5-inch reach deficit to account for but it should not be much of an issue with his speed.

Card Top Prop: Paul Craig vs Andre Muniz OVER 1.5 Rounds

These 2 middleweights love to get submission victories. Typically, when that is the case, there is a longer feeling out period compared to guys that just want to throw fists.

Craig’s fights tend to end early but Muniz has gone into the 3rd round in back-to-back fights. With both fighter’s looking to take advantage of submission attempts, the over here makes the most sense for us.

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