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5 NBA Player Prop Best Bets for the Black Friday Slate

Chris Lollis
Written by Chris Lollis
November 24, 2023
NBA Player Prop Picks for Black Friday

With your post-Thanksgiving hangover, turn to superstars Devin Booker and Nikola Jokic to dominate as scorers and playmakers in their Friday matchups, while banking on big men Julius Randle and Domantas Sabonis to hit their assist totals.

Jalen Suggs (ORL) - Under 18.5 PTS+REB+AST

Although Suggs has shown promise as the Magic lead guard, averaging over 25 MPG this season with improved shooting and elite perimeter defense. However, facing a Boston backcourt featuring Derrick White and Jrue Holiday, Suggs might find it difficult to produce stats in what should be a low-scoring affair between two of the top five defenses in the league. The guard has only hit this mark twice in the past five games, against subpar defenses in Toronto and Indiana.

Devin Booker (PHO) - Over 25.5 PTS

Booker has led the Suns to a 5-1 record when healthy this season while becoming one of the elite playmakers in our game running PG for Phoenix. With Memphis averaging 114 PPG and sporting a 3-11 record thus far, expect point Booker to hit the 26-point mark for the fifth time in seven games this campaign. Playing against a smaller backcourt in Memphis should be to his advantage in what could become a blowout.

Julius Randle (NYK) - Over 24.5 PTS+AST

Although the Miami defense is slowly improving, Julius Randle has had their number in recent years. The forward has averaged 17.5 PTS and 8.6 boards in 17 games against the Heat, while hitting this mark all four times in his previous games against Miami outside of his last game, where the problematic big man only played 15 minutes.

Randle should hit this mark with a positive or negative game script, and with Butler stifling Brunson and Barrett, this will give Julius more of an opportunity for stats.

Nikola Jokic (DEN) - Over 0.5 TD (1.25x)

Jokic has dominated the Rockets in the Sengun era, posing a +47 mark in six games with one triple-double and two games a stat away from another bunch. While Houston is allowing the least PPG this season mostly due to the Ime Udoka effect, expect Nikola to drop his second triple-double against Sengun with a slight chip on his shoulder with all the comparisons.

Domantas Sabonis (SAC) - Over 6.0 AST

In a game where Naz Reid, Karl-Anthony Towns, and Rudy Gobert will clog the paint, Sabonis should have extra value as a playmaker kicking the ball out to the Kings’ shooters. While the Wolves have a top-tier defense, they allow a bottom-half 27.7 APG in away games.

Domantas has hit the 7 assist mark in six of the past eight matchups while Sacramento has found its rhythm with De’Aaron Fox back in action.

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