We get two great things this Saturday: Christmas Eve and NFL Football. It simply doesn't get any better than that! It's time to kick back with a glass of egg nog and win some prop bets.
Christmas Eve gives us 11 games on the NFL betting board to pick apart. A couple of the more intriguing matchups include the Bengals vs the Patriots and the Eagles vs the Cowboys. The action concludes on NFL Network with a showdown between Las Vegas and Pittsburgh.
Here are 3 PrizePicks NFL props for December 24. Let's find that 3-0 sweep before Santa makes his way down the chimney! Best of luck and Merry Christmas to you and yours!
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Brian Robinson UNDER 55.5 Rushing Yards
We love B-Rob, and his comeback story this season was truly remarkable to watch. That being said, this is an awful matchup for him against the 49ers' ferocious rush defense. San Fran leads the league in yards per rush allowed (3.4) and rushing yards allowed per game (74.7).
The Niners also rank 2nd in rush defense, according to DVOA. Washington, on the other hand, only ranks 25th in that category on offense. The Commanders' offensive line will have a rough time keeping Nick Bosa and company out of their own backfield.
This number does look low, but it's low for a reason. Robinson hasn't played against a defensive line like this all year. Look for the Niners to hold Robinson to under 50 rushing yards in this one.
Isiah Pacheco OVER 67.5 Rushing Yards
Pacheco has really come into his own since Clyde Edwards-Helaire went down with an injury. He's gone Over this rushing yardage total in 5 of his last 6 games. With the Chiefs coming into this game as a heavy favorite, Pacheco could get plenty of carries late in the game to run the clock down.
Andy Reid's bunch is known more for their passing, but the Chiefs rank a surprising 7th in yards per rush this season (4.8). Conversely, the Seahawks' defense only ranks 28th in yards per rush allowed (4.9).
Seattle also ranks next to last in rushing yards allowed per game (161.1). Look for Pacheco to get plenty of running lanes in this game and to easily go Over this yardage number.
CeeDee Lamb UNDER 73.5 Receiving Yards
Here's a hard one to press Submit on, but we feel it's the right side. Philly's incredible defense held Lamb to just 68 receiving yards back on October 16. Look for the Eagles' defense to be on a mission in this game, especially since starting QB Jalen Hurts is out with a shoulder injury.
For all the talk about the Cowboys' potent offense, they still only rank 15th in passing offense according to DVOA. Philly's pass defense ranks 2nd in that critical category. The Eagles also lead the league in yards per pass allowed (5.3).
We also like the matchup here against Lamb. Darius "Big Play" Slay is one of the top defensive backs in the league and he'll keep Lamb from going off in this game. Play the Under!
Bonus Bet: Taysom Hill OVER 37.5 Rushing Yards
For our bonus PrizePicks selection on Saturday, let's roll with Mr. Hill. As far as market support goes, this is about as good as it gets. DraftKings, BetMGM, and Caesars all price this prop 10 yards higher than PrizePicks.
Hill is only averaging 34.5 rushing yards per game this season, but the matchup favors an Over in a big way. The Browns are awful against the run. They rank 29th in the league in yards per rush allowed (5.0) and 24th in rushing yards allowed.
We can see the Saints handing the ball to Hill on a couple of end around trick plays. If that happens, Hill may exceed this rushing yardage total with one long run. Take the Over!
