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Our NBA player props went 1-2 last night. It was a weird evening, as Jimmy Butler was a late scratch for the Heat with a sore neck. That nixed our Under 6.5 play on his rebounding total, which was looking like a pretty sweet play according to the closing line of 5.5 at most sportsbooks.
Markelle Fultz cashed for us by staying under his rebounding total, but 2 of his teammates let us down. Wendell Carter didn't even come close to going over his rebounding total, and Franz Wagner lit it up from downtown to crush our under 3-pointers bet. We're ready to move on to Wednesday's card and the 10 games it has for us.
Let's bounce back strong with 3 PrizePicks NBA Props for Wednesday, March 29. Best of luck with your picks!
We don't typically like playing on star players to go Over on any of their prop numbers. The sportsbooks usually inflate the numbers on the superstars because they know most of the action will be on their Overs. However, we're going to make an exception with Luka tonight.
The Mavs are facing off against the Sixers, and Doncic usually has a knack for playing well against good teams. He's gone over this assists total in 3 straight games against Philly. The 76ers have a good defense, but they rank just 27th in fast break points allowed. We're hoping that'll equate to some easy assists for Luka.
For the season, Doncic is averaging 8.1 assists per game. He's also gone over this number in 4 of his last 5 outings. Market support is also in our favor, as SI Sportsbook is pricing the Over at -150.
One of our favorite plays is betting on centers or power forwards to stay Under their assist totals. Zach Collins of the Spurs fits that bill for us tonight. The 6-11 250-pounder is an adept scorer and rebounder, but he doesn't rack up many assists.
The former Gonzaga Bulldog is only averaging 2.8 assists per game this season. Even better than that, Collins has stayed under 3.5 assists in 42 of his 60 ball games this year. No wonder FanDuel is juicing the Under to -142.
The matchup will also be tough for Collins tonight. Utah ranks 8th in the league in assists allowed per game. Collins has played the Jazz 11 times in his career, and he's dished out 3 assists or fewer in 10 of those games. Take the Under!
Our first thought was that this line on Murray's rebounding number should be 4.5 instead of 5.5. The former Iowa Hawkeye is only averaging 4.6 rebounds per game this season. Murray's an above-average scorer, but we're not expecting him to crash the boards in an elite manner.
The 6-8 rookie has played in 73 games this season, and he's stayed under 5.5 rebounds in 50 of those games. Murray has also grabbed 5 rebounds or less in 7 of his last 10 games. He only ended up with 2 rebounds the last time he played Portland on February 23rd.
PointsBet is shading the Under in a big way with this play. They're currently juicing it at -150. FanDuel isn't too far behind at -148.
Mike has been involved with sports for over 30 years. He played college baseball and has been betting on sports for more than 20 years. He has a degree in Sports Psychology and covers the NFL and CFB for EatWatchBet. @MikeNoblin
21+ to wager. Please Gamble Responsibly. Call 1-800-NEXT-STEP (AZ), 1-800-522-4700 (KS, NV), 1-800-BETS-OFF (IA), 1-800-270-7117 for confidential help (MI). Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER. Call 877-8-HOPENY or text HOPENY (467369) (NY) Call 1-800-327-5050 (MA).