Our NBA player props ended February on a high note by posting 4 winning nights in a row. Last night we went 2-1, as both Scottie Barnes and Talen Horton-Tucker got the job done for us. Our only loser was on Pascal Siakam, who just narrowly missed going over his point total.
Tonight's NBA card gives us 9 games to enjoy and exploit. We've analyzed the board in great detail and found 3 PrizePicks NBA props for Wednesday, March 1. Let's get the W train rolling! Good luck with all of your plays!
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De'Anthony Melton OVER 1.5 Made Three-Pointers
Holy cow! It's hard to believe we found value in the 3-point market on back-to-back days. Melton is averaging 2.1 made shots per game from downtown this season. That's a career-high for Melton and the main reason we're playing this Over.
The former USC Trojan has done pretty well of late against the Heat. Melton has made 6 three-pointers in his last 3 games against Miami. We don't think the Heat will be able to slow Melton down, especially since they rank only 21st in 3-point defense and 24th in defensive efficiency.
There's some good value in this number. For the season, Melton has made 2 or more three-pointers in 36 of 57 games. That's probably why Caesars is juicing this Over at -143. That's enough for us to pull the trigger.
Al Horford UNDER 5.5 Rebounds
We hate fading a solid veteran like Horford. He has a knack for being around the basketball, but we have to trust our projections and play the Under. The former Florida Gator is averaging 5.8 rebounds over his last 5 games.
Though that stat isn't in our favor, we do like that Horford only grabbed 2 rebounds a couple of nights ago against the Knicks. He only brought down 4 rebounds against Philly a few days prior to that.
You also have to wonder just how many minutes Horford will play tonight. He's 36 years old, and sometimes the Celtics only play him for around 25 minutes per game or so. We also have some market support on this one, as BetRivers is juicing the Under at -148.
Terry Rozier UNDER 4.5 Rebounds
This is our favorite play on tonight's board. Rozier rebounds pretty well for a guard, but we don't see him eclipsing this total tonight against Phoenix. The Suns rank 8th in the league in rebounding, so the matchup is less than ideal.
For the season, Rozier is bringing down 4.2 rebounds per game. The numbers are even more in our favor over his last 5 games (2.4). That may be why FanDuel is pricing the Under at -148, and Pinnacle has it at -162.
The former Louisville star has played in 52 games so far this season. He's grabbed 4 rebounds or fewer in 29 of those contests. The 28-year-old has also stayed under this total in 9 of 14 career games vs. Phoenix. Take the Under with confidence!
