We played too many Overs last night, and it cost us! We ended up at 1-2 as both of our Overs on Domantas Sabonis and Jayson Tatum went down in flames. Our only bright spot was Jerami Grant, who easily stayed under his rebounding total to at least get us one W for the evening.
We're typically fond of betting Unders, but we've strayed from our bread and butter of late, and it's burning us. This is a good lesson for any sports bettor, no matter how long they've been in the game. Stick to your own convictions and to what you know best!
It's time to bounce back strong with 3 PrizePicks NBA Props for Thursday, February 2. Best of luck to all!
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Jrue Holiday UNDER 5.5 Rebounds
Mr. Holiday has been crashing the boards pretty well of late, but we're expecting some regression to the mean tonight against the Clippers. Los Angeles is 8th in the league in rebounds allowed, so the matchup won't exactly be in Holiday's favor.
There are several trends that support an Under for Holiday in this spot. For the season, he's averaging 5.3 rebounds per game. He's also averaging slightly less than that when at home (5.0). That's probably why FanDuel has this Under juiced to -140.
The former UCLA Bruin has stayed under this total in 9 of his last 14 games. The real kicker, though, is his career numbers against the Clippers. He's played them 28 times and stayed under this rebounding total in 23 of those games. Take the Under!
Spencer Dinwiddie UNDER 5.5 Assists
Might as well go with 2 Unders in a row! Dinwiddie is a solid player for Dallas, and he helps take some of the scoring load off of Luka Doncic. That being said, he's only an okay facilitator in this offense.
Dinwiddie is averaging 5.3 assists per game this season and has stayed under this number in 29 of 51 games. New Orleans is slightly above average at limiting assists, as they rank 14th in that category. The former Colorado star has played against the Pelicans 14 times and has stayed under this assist total in 10 of those games.
Market support is also in our favor with this play. BetRivers juices the Under to -150, which is a pretty strong indicator that the Under is the more likely scenario.
Bam Adebayo OVER 20.5 Points
We wanted to make it 3 straight Unders, but we couldn't pass up the value on Bam's Over tonight against the Knicks. New York is a pretty solid defensive team, as they rank 12th in points allowed. That said, Adebayo is hard to handle down low when he gets hot.
For the season, Adebayo is averaging 21.4 points per game. That's almost a full point higher than the number that PrizePicks is giving us. The former Kentucky standout is also averaging 22.4 points per game on the road this season.
The market support for this play is insane! Unibet prices this prop at 22.5, and almost every other online sportsbook prices it at 21.5. That's Value City right there!
