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We went 1-2 on our matchups last week at the Sanderson. Montgomery bested McCarthy while Sepp Straka blew out Adam Hadwin. We did pick up some with Justin Lower defeating Brendon Todd.
We have a couple of significant names participating here in Vegas this week but not the star power we like to see. However, the big-name wins pay the same as the smaller names.
We found 3 matchup best bets for the 2022 Shriners Children's Open! All lines are from DraftKings Sportsbook. Good luck!
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Taylor Moore (-120) over Maverick McNealy
We mentioned our fade on McNealy in our prop article but we will reiterate that he has missed the cut here in 3 of his 4 starts. His season is off to a slow start after just one event. He missed the cut shooting an ugly 3 over on Thursday and failing to recover enough to make the weekend.
Moore missed the cut back in 2018 and hadn’t returned until last season when he finished a respectable 24th. He is off to a solid start this season, posting 36th and 24th finishes in the 1st two events in 2022-2023. We think Moore will come through with a nice finish this weekend while McNealy's poor form continues.
Matthew NeSmith (-110) over Mark Hubbard
We played NeSmith on a value play for a top 20 finish in our props article. He has yet to finish outside the top 20 in his 3 starts at TPC Summerlin. While the value made the play worth the risk, we are backing NeSmith here on a lesser valued play but with a better chance at cashing.
Hubbard’s best finish here is 42nd and he's missed 1 out of 3 cuts. He fails to score in the strokes gained off the tee category while NeSmith thrives there. That edge alone makes this one worth playing!
3-Ball Tournament Matchup: Denny McCarthy (+165) over Keith Mitchell & Alex Noren
We were planning on playing McCarthy’s matchup against Mitchell before we saw this opportunity. Noren is a bit of a misnomer as he has not played in this event previously. Our research on McCarthy and Mitchell is enough for us to make this play based on the value.
Denny has posted a 25th and 39th finish already this season. Mitchell has failed to make the cut in all 4 starts here and while we played him to miss the cut, he provides another fade opportunity here.
Noren finished 36th at the Fortinet Championship, his only event thus far in the early portion of the season, which was 11 spots below McCarthy. Noren is a putting threat, finishing 18th last season in strokes gained there but was outside the top 100 in all 3 other important categories. Give us the plus money on McCarthy.
