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Written by Mike Noblin
April 11, 2023
2 PrizePicks NBA Props for Tuesday, April 11

2 PrizePicks NBA Props for Tuesday, April 11

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Our MLB props went 2-0 last night, which was nice to see. Domingo German didn't strike out a single batter to cash our Under play, and Logan Webb struck out 6 Dodgers to bring home the Over for us! After a rough week last week, it was nice to wake up a winner this morning!

Let's try to push that momentum over to the hardwood. The NBA Play-In Tournament will begin tonight with 4 teams fighting to advance to the "real" postseason. The Hawks will travel to Miami to take on the Heat in the early tip, while the Lakers will host the Timberwolves in the late nightcap.

The only thing better than watching playoff basketball is betting on it! Both home teams are listed as mid-range favorites, and both games are expected to be high scoring. Here are 2 PrizePicks NBA Props for Tuesday, April 11!

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Trae Young UNDER 9.5 Assists

Here's a scary one to get the day started! It's hard to bet against superstars, especially in the playoffs. Nevertheless, the market is clearly telling us that the Under is the most likely outcome. Caesars has this juiced all the way out to -175, and SI Sportsbook has it at -158.

Young is one of the best distributors in the league, and he's been racking up assists at an insanely high level lately. We're expecting a regression to the mean tonight against Miami. Keep in mind that Young is averaging 9.3 assists per game for his career, which is slightly in our favor.

The former Oklahoma Sooner has had another fantastic season. However, he only averaged 9.6 assists per game in road contests. That's 0.6 assists per game fewer than his yearly per-game average of 10.2. He's also stayed under this assists number in 12 of 17 career games against the Heat.

Speaking of the Heat, they have a stingy defense, especially during the playoffs. Miami ranks 2nd in the league in points allowed. Look for Jimmy Butler and company to keep Young under wraps in the early game on TNT.

Gabe Vincent OVER 13.5 Pts/Rebs/Assts

Vincent has been a solid contributor for Miami all season long. The former UC-Santa Barbara standout put up career highs in both points and rebounds this year. We're expecting another impressive outing for the 3-year NBA veteran tonight against Atlanta.

For the season, Vincent averaged 14 points, rebounds, and assists combined per game. He's also averaged 14.2 PRAs over his last 5 outings. Maybe that's why PointsBet and BetRivers are pricing this at 14.5 instead of 13.5.

The 6-3 guard has had some success against Atlanta lately. He's gone over this PRA total in 2 of his last 3 games against the Hawks. That's an encouraging sign for the Over.

Speaking of the Hawks, they're a trainwreck on the defensive end of the floor. Atlanta ranks 26th in points allowed, 22nd in opponent shooting efficiency, and 22nd in assists allowed. Look for Vincent to take advantage of a favorable matchup tonight on his way to an Over. Best of luck with all your picks! Let's cash these!

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